Boris heads off EU’s plan to steal a piece of Britain in revenge for Brexit ?

Irish Border at Killeen Digital cameras will inspect your shopping receipts and demand your credit card ?

It was always evident that the pre-election smoke and mirrors concoction Boris Johnson sold to the British people last autumn in the form of the ‘revised Northern Ireland Protocol’, which was supposed to show that he could square the circle of the Irish border problem and ‘deliver’ a clean Brexit, was going to fall apart as soon as it was put to the test.

As the Withdrawal Agreement and its revised Northern Ireland Protocol (the deal which Johnson agreed on 19 October) stands, both sides are committed to avoiding a hard border on the island of Ireland regardless of the outcome of the withdrawal negotiations.

This means that even if there were ‘no deal’ and we moved to WTO tariffs, Northern Ireland would effectively remain within the EU Single Market – which means, in turn, that there would have to be a customs border down the Irish Sea.

No amount of bluster about EU blockades and breaking up our country can disguise the fact that the government is reneging on the withdrawal agreement that it negotiated, and it agreed to, last autumn. The mess is entirely of Johnson’s making but the political calculation is devilish and masterful.

Either the EU plays ball, concludes a free trade deal on our terms (i.e. we set our own rules and standards), and drops their insistence on a hard border or on a border down the Irish sea – and in the process destroys the integrity of their own Single Market; or we move to WTO rules, and the Republic is forced against its will to impose a hard border with Northern Ireland.

One suspects that since the latter is inconceivable, something along the lines of the former is inevitable. But then the former is also inconceivable, and though the latter is unpalatable, it could be argued that border customs posts erected by the Irish would be less likely to be a target for nationalist terrorists. Either way, Johnson, Gove, and Cummings have given the term La Perfide Albion a whole new lease of life.

Yet through all these negotiations and machinations, neither the British nor the Irish has addressed the root cause of the problem – namely, the precarious position of Northern Ireland in the UK. Here are the facts: First, recent Labour Force surveys reveal that there is, in all probability, already a Catholic majority in Northern Ireland. Second, the demographic trend is for the Catholic population to continue to rise rapidly and for the Protestant population to fall. Thirdly, and perhaps most importantly, the economic consequences for Northern Ireland of being part of the UK have been dire.

In an article in the Belfast Telegraph a few years ago, Irish economist David McWilliams argued that the Union had been an economic disaster for both communities in Northern Ireland.

[https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/opinion/news-analysis/demographics-are-shifting-towards-a-united-ireland-we-must-have-a-plan-35865222.html]

The statistics make dismal reading. In 1920, Northern Ireland was Ireland’s industrial powerhouse producing 80 per cent of its output; a century later, it produces less than 10 per cent.

The Republic produces 15 times more exports than the North. Foreign capital has poured into the Republic, which is now a net contributor to the EU. The North, meanwhile, is dependent on handouts from Whitehall, the DUP’s extortion of extra money from Theresa May (in return for propping up her government) amounting to a shopping expedition by ‘a subsidy junky’.

Ulster has great emotional resonance for a certain generation of English – for those of us with Northern Irish ancestry, and those of us who remember the sacrifice of Ulster in two World Wars. Alanbrooke, Churchill’s great CIGS, was an Ulsterman, of whom Churchill said, ‘When I thump the table and push my face towards him what does he do? Thumps the table harder and glares back at me. I know these Brookes – stiff-necked Ulstermen and there’s no one worse to deal with than that!’

But for growing numbers of young aspiring Northern Irish of both communities, the prospect of remaining an outlying ‘province’ of the UK, a millstone around Great Britain’s neck, an economic basket case, cannot be very appealing, especially when measured against their dynamic southern neighbour, whose religious past is fast receding, and whose population is increasingly cosmopolitan and secular in outlook.

As for the spectre of Gaelic, less than half the population of the Republic can speak it, and only one in twenty does so on a regular basis. Neither is the prospect very appealing to growing numbers of mainland British, for whom Protestant Unionists and Orangemen are nothing but an embarrassment, and for whom a visit to Belfast holds all the appeal of a visit to Leipzig.

The truth is that the writing is on the wall for Northern Ireland, just as it is for Scotland, and we had better start facing it. The Union has no more life in it than the Empire. But the demise of the Union, of Great Britain, perhaps even of ‘Britain’, could be a golden opportunity, indeed the last chance, for England – or, if the Welsh consent, for ‘England and Wales’ – to save itself, and its people, from multicultural suicide. Or, in the words of the old hymn, ‘England, arise! The long, long night is over.’

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14 Comments on Boris heads off EU’s plan to steal a piece of Britain in revenge for Brexit ?

  1. Also regarding EU power and the power of the marxists and naive idealists who dominate politics, the civil services, the education systems and the mainstream news/opinion media:

    Those who would save England must mount campaigns to halt the inflow of blacks and Muslims from everywhere-

    -as those two groups, as groups, will forever be nett costs to the productive classes and threats to a safe civil order.

  2. I fear what you say, and that you may have struck a deep truth, but I hope with all my heart that you haven’t.
    We have had no finer and truer allies than the protestant Ulstermen, and the Anglo-Irish as well. My heart is in the Highlands, and the Glens of Antrim as well. The Scots and English provide a great balance for each other, and profit from collaboration and understanding, whilst antipathy and mistrust serve neither people well. I hope that blood, heart and history win the coming fight for The Union, and that the economy and the EU lose.
    Quis Separabit

    • Heart is a fine thing, but often not decisive or sufficient to maintain the Good-

      -where maintenance of the Good requires that economic surplus be created within some key sectors of society.

      Economic surplus and sound strategic sense in politics, in the education and information/opinion systems, in the criminal justice system, in military might and in internal security-

      -otherwise, it’s all Kaput, as we see in history and all around us today.

      • You make an excellent point about economic surplus, but I fear that those who have control over our finances have no love of The Union, nor its people. So I trust my heart on this one.
        I also pray for a return to democratic accountability, (small c) conservative values, and a subsequent understanding from those elected or promoted to high office, that the United Kingdom and its people have great qualities, and we are rather more than a support base for an unholy alliance of global corporates, and the NHS.

  3. Yes, in many ways England will be better off without Scotland, NI and Wales.

    A major exception is in military defence.

    Through the centuries, it has proven useful, necessary, for the defence of England for substantial military forces loyal to England, and controlled by England, to be based to the North and West.

    Of course, it is unlikely that France or Germany would ever again pose military threats to England.

    And Russia has no obvious interest or capability to invade England or cut off its supply lines.

    But it is in the nature of things that Russian naval and air forces will always test the boundaries.

    Of course, in the event of break-up of the Union, there will be millions of Scots, Irish, Welsh who’ll want to move to England -as they know their economic well-being, and even the civil order of their homelands will be much reduced if those places leave the Union.

    Difficult eh.

    Now, on balance, The Republic of Ireland will seek closer ties with England as, on balance, the Irish know which side their bread is buttered.

    • ‘Through the centuries, it has proven useful, necessary, for the defence of England for substantial military forces loyal to England, and controlled by England, to be based to the North and West’
      And to emerge, formidably arrayed, from the South of Ireland. As we saw at Waterloo, Sebastopol, Spion Kop and the Somme!

      • Yes, the Irish can fight alright -excellent infantry.

        Wonder if they’d let England base nuke subs and long-range aircraft there in the Republic, when Scotland goes off on its merry/useless “independent” way.

  4. It won’t be long before the Irish in the south suddenly realise that they have been “had” by their own politicians and they will be agitating to leave the EU.

    As Gorbachev said after the break up of the soviet union, what are the Europeans doing joining yet another union that is nodelled on his country?

    People like their homes and would rather put up with their own government rather than a foreign one… The Irish, being no exception, fought against the English for 800 years. When they were eventually allowed to leave, they retained voting rights and freedom of movement, which the EU is busily trying to undermine.

    The question will be being asked in the south, were we better off with the devil we knew, rather than the devil that we don’t.

  5. The beak-up of Britain is exactly what Germany and France – AKA the E.U. – desire to finally achieve dominance of Europe. It will then only remain for Germany to crush France through the € to ascend its place as the 4th Reich and hegemony over the entire continent including the off-shore Atlantic Hong-Kong formally the United Kingdom. Nicholas Ridley was sacked from the Thatcher government for saying that the ‘common market’ was a German racket ; how right he was!

  6. ‘….the demographic trend is for the Catholic population to continue to rise rapidly and for the Protestant population to fall.’
    Is that really so? It was recently reported that population growth among NI Catholics had notably slowed. In any case, a significant number of Catholics vote Unionist.

  7. Everybody and his dog, countries I’m meaning that is, break international law. So, why not do it ourselves then? It is far from being a novelty!
    What did Australia do in stopping all those ‘undesirables’ coming into the county then eh?
    And why have we have, ‘ever so nicely’ labled them otherwise eh?

    • A true point:

      Australia stopped the boats, but flung open the airport doors to groups whose effects on that struggling country are nett negative in all respects, and will remain so in perpetuity.